Tag: academy-awards-2016

  • Here’s the List of Oscars 2016 Presenters (So Far)

    The 77th Annual Academy Awards - Photo RoomABC just added five more names to the list of presenters for the Sunday, February 28 Academy Awards: Oscar winners Morgan Freeman and John Legend, plus J.J. Abrams, Sacha Baron Cohen, and Henry Cavill. It’s no surprise to see them lead with Freeman and Legend, and not just because they are past winners. Oscar producers are going out of their way to not only add more non-white presenters in reaction to #OscarsSoWhite, but to make sure we know they’re doing it.

    Anyway, this list of Oscar presenters may be updated with still more names before next Sunday’s show, but here’s the current lineup:

    J.J. Abrams
    Patricia Arquette
    Abraham Attah
    Cate Blanchett
    Emily Blunt
    Louis C.K.
    Steve Carell
    Henry Cavill
    Priyanka Chopra
    Sacha Baron Cohen
    Common
    Russell Crowe
    Benicio del Toro
    Chris Evans
    Tina Fey
    Morgan Freeman
    Jennifer Garner
    Whoopi Goldberg
    Ryan Gosling
    Louis Gossett, Jr.
    Kevin Hart
    Quincy Jones
    Michael B. Jordan
    Lady Gaga
    Byung-hun Lee
    John Legend
    Jared Leto
    Rachel McAdams
    Julianne Moore
    Olivia Munn
    Dev Patel
    Eddie Redmayne
    Daisy Ridley
    Margot Robbie
    Jason Segel
    Andy Serkis
    Sarah Silverman
    J.K. Simmons
    Sam Smith
    Charlize Theron
    Jacob Tremblay
    Sofia Vergara
    Kerry Washington
    The Weeknd
    Pharrell Williams
    Reese Witherspoon

    Chris Rock is hosting the 88th Academy Awards which will be held Sunday, February 28 in Hollywood, and televised live on ABC at 7 p.m. EST/ 4 p.m. PST.

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  • Oscars 2016: Does ‘Revenant’ Really Have a Shot at Best Picture?

    How unpredictable is this year’s Oscar race? We are two weeks out and Best Picture still remains a three-way race.

    Last weekend’s Directors Guild Awards — which analysts thought might bring some clarity to the race — resulted in an unprecedented repeat victory for “The Revenant” director Alejandro González Iñárritu, meaning Oscarologists are just as confused as ever. Especially since Best Picture still remains a three-way race.

    Iñárritu is the first person ever to win two DGA prizes in a row; he won last year for “Birdman” as well. If he goes on to win the Best Director Oscar — and the DGA win makes him the front-runner in that category — he’ll be only the third person ever to win two directing Oscars in a row, and the first to do it in 65 years.
    But does that mean “Revenant” is going to win Best Picture? Not necessarily, though the signs are encouraging. It has 12 nominations, more than any other contender. Besides the DGA, it won the Golden Globe for Best Drama. Star Leonardo DiCaprio seems certain to win Best Actor. And it doesn’t hurt that the movie is a big box office hit.

    On the other hand, it failed to win a number of other Important precursor awards. It wasn’t even nominated for Best Ensemble (the equivalent of Best Picture) at the Screen Actors Guild Awards. The Best Director Oscar and the Best Picture Oscar haven’t always matched up in recent years. No director’s movies have ever won Best Picture two years running. And the film’s top rivals, “The Big Short” and “Spotlight,” remain strong.

    “Spotlight” did win the SAGs’ top prize, meaning it’s the favorite of the actors, the largest branch of Academy voters. It also won Best Picture at the Critics Choice Awards, along with Best Ensemble and Best Original Screenplay. In fact it was the early favorite of many critics’ groups — which put the film on the Academy’s short list, if not all the way in the winner’s circle. Its early momentum was thought to have stalled when “Revenant” came along, but its SAG victory two weeks ago put it back in the running.
    “Big Short” was the only other Best Picture contender even nominated for SAG’s Best Ensemble award. It won the American Cinema Editor’s ACE Eddie award for Best Editing (tied with “Mad Max: Fury Road,”) often a strong Best Picture precursor. Most important, “Big Short” won the Producers Guild of America Award.

    The PGA prize has been the most accurate predictor of the Best Picture Oscar over the last decade. 19 of the last 26 films to win the PGA’s highest honor also went on to win the Academy’s.

    This year’s top contenders are movies that are easier to admire than to love. You can respect Iñárritu for making a difficult movie under adverse conditions and still think “The Revenant” is punishing to sit through. You can consider “Spotlight” worthy for getting impeccable performances out of a great ensemble in order to tell an important story and still think the movie is conventional and un-cinematic. And you can marvel at “The Big Short” for finding an entertaining way to explain a complex catastrophe and still find the movie too light-hearted and comical to take seriously as a Best Picture contender.
    Left to right: Steve Carell plays Mark Baum and Ryan Gosling plays Jared Vennett in The Big Short from Paramount Pictures and Regency EnterprisesThat said, “Big Short” and “Spotlight” are more consensus-appeal movies than “Revenant.” At Rotten Tomatoes, “Revenant” has a lot more negative reviews (50) than the other two films (29 for “Big Short,” nine for “Spotlight”). And despite “Revenant’s” multiple Academy Award nominations, its failure to win any of the guild awards except the DGA suggests that its support among the Hollywood craftspeople who make up the bulk of the Academy is broad but not very deep.

    How deep? Maybe the BAFTAs this weekend will offer a clue, but there’s only so much overlap in membership between the American and British Academies. Still, there’s one BAFTA quirk that has held value as a predictor over the years: no film without a BAFTA screenwriting nomination wins a Best Picture Oscar.

    That stat would seem to spell doom for “Revenant,” whose screenplay wasn’t nominated by either country’s Academy. Then again, Iñárritu doesn’t have the problem in England that he does here: that voters might think it’s too soon for him or his film to win again, since “Boyhood” and Richard Linklater beat him for the BAFTA last year.

    If “Revenant” does sweep at the BAFTAs — it’s up for eight prizes in London — we’ll know that the movie’s momentum has gone global. Same if “Spotlight” wins a Best Film BAFTA, especially since it’s only up for three awards there, and Best Director isn’t one of them. But if “Big Short,” which is up for five BAFTAs, takes the crown, it’ll confirm the promise suggested by all the precursor awards the movie has been nominated for or won.

    At this point, it’s plausible that we’ll see an Oscar split: “Big Short” for Best Picture, “Revenant” for Best Director. But so far, all we can say for sure is that Oscar voting begins on February 12 and ends on the 23rd. If individual Academy voters are as torn between the three front-runners as the guilds have been, they don’t have much more time to make up their minds.
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  • 24 Oscar Winners and Nominees Who Started Out on Soap Operas

    %Slideshow-363927% Everybody’s got to start somewhere.

    For some people, it’s theater or commercials, but for many, many actors, their first job was on a soap opera. As the World Turns,” One Life to Live” and Susan Sarandon played a murderous drifter on “Search for Tomorrow,” a soap that was also among the first gigs for Tommy Lee Jones, Kevin Kline, and Viggo Mortensen.

    Who else got a boost from the soap opera world? Leonardo DiCaprio, Alicia Vikander, and Bryan Cranston are just a few of these performers who now call themselves Oscar nominees.

  • Sylvester Stallone Almost Boycotted Oscars Ceremony

    Premiere Of Warner Bros. Pictures' "Creed" - ArrivalsLike his on-screen persona, Rocky, Sylvester Stallone is ready to fight — for diversity.

    The 69-year-old “Creed” actor, who is nominated in the supporting category at the Oscars this year, told reporters at yesterday’s Academy Awards luncheon that he was ready to boycott the ceremony. This year’s awards have been mired in controversy over the lack of nominees of color, and generated the #OscarsSoWhite social media campaign. Stallone considered boycotting in solidarity with “Creed” director Ryan Coogler and star Michael B. Jordan, neither of whom were nominated.

    “I remember I spoke with Ryan Coogler when this happened. I said, ‘Ryan, how do you want to handle this? Because I really believe you are responsible for me being here,’” he said.

    “I said, ‘If you want me to go, I’ll go. If you don’t, I won’t.’ “He said, ‘No, I want you to go.’ That’s the kind of guy he is. He wants us to go and represent the film.”

    Stallone heaped praise on both Coogler and Jordan, despite having neglected to thank them when he won a Golden Globe. He won’t be forgetting them again anytime soon.

    “Michael Jordan, every time I looked in his eyes as an actor, I said, he was making me better,” Stallone raved. “I think he should’ve been given a lot more respect and attention.”

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  • Oscars 2016: Why the #OscarsSoWhite Boycott Only Scratches the Surface

    Anyone who thinks the Oscars are trivial, that they’re just about privileged people who live in a bubble giving each other golden trophies, wasn’t paying attention this week.

    The #OscarsSoWhite controversy has only grown more shrill and bitter in the week since the Academy announced its second straight slate of all-white acting nominees. Not only have numerous stars weighed in, but so have politicians, including presidential candidate Donald Trump and New York Mayor Bill de Blasio. So the discussion over the lack of diversity at the Oscars has affected the real world outside the Dolby Theatre — as it should.

    The underlying issue here is bigger than the Oscars, which only represent the end of the process. As many prominent movie folk have noted, from Spike Lee to Viola Davis to George Clooney, the problem is at the beginning of the process — when the studios decide which stories to tell and whom to hire to tell them. Increase diversity there, and you’ll increase it among the movies and individuals in the pool of eligible nominees.
    Why does it even matter? Because black people, like everyone else, want to see people like themselves on screen and hear their own stories told. Because people of color also buy more movie tickets per capita than white people do, so you’d think Hollywood would try to do more to cater to its customer base. Because the success of black stars like Will Smith and Denzel Washington overseas — where most of the box office comes from — should have long ago put a stop to the industry belief that it’s a waste of resources to make films about black people since foreign audiences won’t pay to see them. And because Hollywood movies are not just one of America’s most successful exports, but also represent the face (and faces) that America presents to the world, so why shouldn’t the movies look more like America?

    That’s where the Academy comes in, since the Oscars are Hollywood’s way of presenting its most positive image of itself. Just two years ago, when “12 Years a Slave” and Lupita Nyong’o won big, the message of the Oscars seemed to be: America’s diversity is such a source of strength that it even allows us to take an uncompromising look at the ugliest part of our history. What’s the message this year?

    Right now, at least, it’s one of strife and embarrassment. Jada Pinkett Smith was the first star to suggest a boycott, though she and husband Will are insisting that their non-attendance is about the larger shutout, not Will’s own snub for “Concussion.” Not sure if anyone believes that, especially after the dis from Will’s former “Fresh Prince of Bel Air” co-star Janet Hubert. Whether or not the Smiths are sincere, the spat has made their boycott about ego and celebrity gossip, and less about the underlying issue.

    Ego may also have trumped good intentions in the case of music legend and former Oscar ceremony producer Quincy Jones. While dismissing the effectiveness of a boycott, he also threatened to walk, saying the Academy had asked him to be a presenter this year but that he’ll only do it if he’s allowed to address the diversity issue for five minutes. Let’s hope he meant in private and not onstage; given how long the show runs every year, the Academy is unlikely to allow anyone to do anything for five straight minutes — especially not give a political speech.
    Special chutzpah points go to supporting Actor nominee Mark Ruffalo. First, he suggested that he was mulling the idea of joining the boycott; which performers of color should have been nominated in his place, this year and last, he didn’t say. Then he tweeted that he actually would attend, in support of the sexual abuse victims whose stories he helped tell in “Spotlight.” So he almost got to be the first actual nominee and the first white person to join the boycott, but he also gets to stay and not miss his potential winning moment, with a politically unassailable excuse. No doubt someone will scold him for playing one marginalized group against another, but for now — well played, Ruffalo.

    The outcry has been so loud that even Academy CEO Dawn Hudson and Academy President Cheryl Boone Isaacs have been forced to make diplomatically worded pronouncements expressing their disappointment over the homogeneity of the nominations and promising institutional changes while taking care not to disparage the achievements of the nominees.

    No doubt the Academy overseers want to stem the talk of a boycott, and maybe they’ve succeeded. So far, the only people who’ve said they aren’t coming are the Smiths, director and Academy documentary board member Michael Moore, and Spike Lee, who has said that, just because he’s not coming doesn’t mean he’s urging anyone else to boycott.
    Lee’s behavior seems paradoxical, and not just because the filmmaker won an honorary Oscar last November for his groundbreaking body of work — meaning that, had he shown up on February 28, there would actually be one black honoree recognized at the ceremony. But also because last year, when questioned about #OscarsSoWhite, he took the long view, citing how posterity had judged his Academy-snubbed 1989 movie “Do the Right Thing” (above) a classic while deeming that year’s winner, “Driving Miss Daisy,” a patronizing trifle. His argument last January was that true validation doesn’t come from an award but from history. But after a second year of #OscarsSoWhite, he seems to have changed his mind.

    In his announcement on Instagram that he would sit out this year’s ceremony, Lee did acknowledge that change needs to happen in Hollywood boardrooms in order for it to happen at the Oscars.

    So how, then, will an Oscar boycott help?
    No one calling for a boycott has been able to explain that; nor has anyone who is calling for host Chris Rock to step down. Even Tyrese Gibson, who’s the most prominent star urging Rock to join the boycott, has expressed reservations. He notes that Leonardo DiCaprio is his friend, and if “The Revenant” star finally wins his first Oscar, as he’s widely expected to do, the award will seem tainted by the controversy.

    Tyrese’s misgivings introduce a rich irony: the sense that any white winner this year will have to wonder whether he or she won based on racial preference, not just merit. That, after all, is the mirror version of the argument many have been making, that the protest is unjustified because maybe there just weren’t enough worthy black performances, this year or last. That argument assumes that all the white nominees did get in on merit alone, that there’s no reverse affirmative action at work.

    Maybe they did, but it’s unlikely because the Oscars have never been entirely about merit. There are always other considerations, including Hollywood politics, money, and the simple fact that there are always more worthy candidates than nomination slots. (That’s why the awards are so hard to handicap.)

    But the argument that snubbed black actors shouldn’t complain because white actors get snubbed too doesn’t hold water. The late Alan Rickman was widely acknowledged to be one of the finest actors in the English language, yet he never got one Academy Award nomination. Who can say why? But at least the reason wasn’t that the Academy didn’t have enough white male members to make sure he wasn’t overlooked, and it wasn’t that Hollywood wasn’t making enough movies with white male characters for him to enjoy a proper showcase for his talents.
    Under Boone Isaacs, the Academy has been working to diversify its membership for the past four years. And on Thursday came the news that the Academy may institute some rule changes, perhaps as soon as next week, that could eventually create a more inclusive slate, such as fixing the number of Best Picture nominees at 10 (instead of a variable number between five and 10) and increasing the number of nominees in the acting categories.

    Of course, there will be complaints at first that this is just watering down the awards by making them less exclusive. But again, the Oscars have never been solely about excellence anyway, and similar complaints made back in 2009 when the Academy first expanded Best Picture beyond five nominees have long since been ignored and forgotten by all.

    The real problem with the proposed rule changes is that they address only the symptom, not the cause. That’s something that Hollywood will have to address far away from the red carpet, and not just during the one time each year when the whole world is paying attention.
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  • Academy President Promises to Diversify Oscar Membership

    US-ENTERTAINMENT-FILM-OSCAR-NOMINATIONSCheryl Boone Isaacs, the president of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences, took to Twitter to address the controversy over the lack of diversity among this year’s Oscar nominees.

    None of 20 acting nominees are people of color for the second year in a row. The smash hit “Straight Outta Compton” was snubbed, though it had received precursor nominations from the Screen Actors Guild, the Producers Guild, and the Writers Guild. The hashtag #OscarsSoWhite has been trending on Twitter, and director Spike Lee and actress Jada Pinkett Smith have vowed to boycott the ceremony.

    “I am both heartbroken and frustrated about the lack of inclusion. This is a difficult but important conversation, and it’s time for big changes,” Boone wrote in a release on Twitter.


    Boone added that the Academy hopes to diversify its membership by expanding their recruitment efforts even further.

    “We have implemented changes to diversify our membership in the last four years. But the change is not coming as fast as we would like.”

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  • Oscars 2016: Lack of Diversity Gets #OscarsSoWhite Trending (Again)

    Well, we know one thing Oscars host Chris Rock might cover in this year’s monologue…

    The 2016 Academy Awards will be handed out on February 28, and they will go to a bunch of very white winners. Entertainment Weekly quipped, “This is the whitest Oscars since last year,” since every acting nominee this year — out of 20 open slots, 10 for women, 10 for men — is white.

    No people of color were nominated in acting categories for a second straight year. No black directors were nominated, and no women of any color were nominated for director at all. Even the one Oscar nomination for “Straight Outta Compton” went to white writers.


    “Straight Outta Compton,” “Creed,” and “Beasts of No Nation” were also overlooked as potential Best Picture nominees, in a field that can include up to 10 nominations. (This year there are eight.)

    Tweeters used the hashtag #OscarsSoWhite to bemoan the lack of love for Idris Elba in “Beasts of No Nation” (the Academy may have no clue what to do with Netflix), Michael B. Jordan and/or Tessa Thompson for “Creed,” Jason Mitchell and/or director F. Gary Gray for “Straight Outta Compton,” Will Smith for “Concussion,” Benicio Del Toro for “Sicario,” anyone from Spike Lee’s “Chi-raq,” or … anyone at all.

    Here’s just a taste of the online reaction:


    Why do you think this is the case, once again, and do you think anything will change next year?

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  • Oscars 2016 Nominations: Full List of Academy Award Nominees

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    Let the games begin! The 88th Academy Awards will be handed out February 28, with Chris Rock hosting for the second time, and now we know who has a shot to win those little naked gold guys. The 2016 Oscar nominations were announced the morning of Thursday, January 14.

    Without further ado, here are your nominees (via Deadline):

    Best Picture
    The Big Short
    Bridge Of Spies
    Brooklyn
    Mad Max: Fury Road
    The Martian
    The Revenant
    Room
    Spotlight

    Best Actor
    Bryan Cranston, Trumbo
    Matt Damon, The Martian
    Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
    Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs
    Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl

    Best Actress
    Cate Blanchett, Carol
    Brie Larson, Room
    Jennifer Lawrence, Joy
    Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years
    Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn

    Best Supporting Actor
    Christian Bale, The Big Short
    Tom Hardy, The Revenant
    Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight
    Mark Rylance, Bridge Of Spies
    Sylvester Stallone, Creed

    Best Supporting Actress
    Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight
    Rooney Mara, Carol
    Rachel McAdams, Spotlight
    Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
    Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs

    Directing
    The Big Short, Adam McKay
    Mad Max: Fury Road, George Miller
    The Revenant, Alejandro G. Iñárritu
    Room, Lenny Abrahamson
    Tom McCarthy, Spotlight

    Film Editing
    Big Short
    Mad Max
    The Revenant
    Spotlight
    Star Wars: The Force Awakens

    Foreign Language Film
    Embrace Of The Serpent
    Mustang
    Son Of Saul
    A War

    Original Score
    Bridge of Spies
    Carol
    The Hateful Eight
    Sicario
    Star Wars

    Production Design
    Bridge Of Spies
    The Danish Girl
    Mad Max
    The Martian
    The Revenant

    Visual Effects
    Ex Machina
    Mad Max
    The Revenant
    Star Wars
    The Martian

    Adapted Screenplay
    The Big Short
    Brooklyn
    Carol
    Martian
    Room

    Original Screenplay
    Bridge Of Spies
    Alex Garland
    Inside Out
    Spotlight
    Straight Outta Compton

    Animated Feature Film
    Anomalisa
    Boy And The World
    Inside Out
    Shaun The Sheep Movie
    When Marnie Was There

    Cinematography
    Carol
    The Hateful Eight
    Mad Mad: Fury Road
    The Revenant
    Sicario

    Costume Design
    Carol
    Cinderella
    The Danish Girl
    Mad Max: Fury Road
    The Revenant

    Documentary Feature
    Amy
    Cartel Land
    The Look of Silence
    What Happened, Miss Simone
    Winter On Fire: Ukraine

    Documentary Short Subject

    Body Team 12
    Chau, Bbeyond the Lines
    Claude Lanzmann: Spectres of the Shoah
    A Girl in the River: The Price of Forgiveness
    Last Day of Freedom

    Makeup and Hairstyling
    Mad Max
    100 Year Old Man
    The Revenant

    Original Song
    Fifty Shades Of Grey, “Earned It”
    Racing Extinction, “Manta Ray”
    Youth, “Simple Song #3”
    The Hunting Ground, “Til It Happens To You”
    Spectre, “Writing’s On The Wall”

    Animated Short Film
    Bear Story
    Prologue
    Sanjay’s Super Team
    We Can’t Live without Cosmos
    World of Tomorrow

    Live Action Short Film
    Ave Maria
    Day One
    Everything Will Be OK
    Shok
    Sutter

    Sound Editing
    Mad Max
    The Martian
    The Revenant
    Sicario
    Star Wars: The Force Awakens

    Sound Mixing
    Bridge Of Spies
    Mad Max: Fury Road
    The Martian
    The Revenant
    Star Wars: The Force Awakens

    Now go ahead and compare these nominees to the Golden Globe Award winners, which were just announced — although, granted, they have Drama vs. Comedy/Musical categories.

    What do you think? Is this Leo’s year? His movie, “The Revenant,” led the pack with 12 nominations:

    Anyone you’re especially glad to see nominated, or especially ticked to see missing?

    To the “snubbed” or simply overlooked stars, never fear — Alan Rickman was never nominated for an Oscar either, and he was better than all of you.

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  • Oscars 2016: Here’s Why the Best Picture Race Is Still Up for Grabs

    It’s one week until the Oscar nominations are announced, and pundits often think they know how the Academy members will vote. But then we learn what Hollywood really thinks from the industry insiders who actually make the movies: The members of the guilds.

    After all, the unions and trade groups who hand out guild awards are often the same people who’ll be voting for the Oscars. We already learned a lot from the Screen Actors Guild, who announced their nominations last month — and who’ll hand out their prizes at the end of January.

    But this week, we heard from several other guilds — including the Producers Guild of America, the Writers Guild of America, and the American Society of Cinematographers — and our simple narrative about “Spotlight” being the runaway front-runner in an otherwise wide-open race has gone out the window.
    Earlier this week, the National Society of Film Critics, a group that prides itself on voting according to its members’ own quirky taste and not the conventional wisdom, named “Spotlight” the group’s Best Picture. If even the NSFC picked “Spotlight,” as so many other groups already have, then surely the consensus is right this time, and the ensemble drama about the investigative reporters who exposed the Catholic Church’s pedophilia cover-up is truly the top candidate for a Best Picture Oscar.

    But we have to remember, the predictive value of an NSFC award is virtually zero most years, and this year shouldn’t be any different. And if we needed any reminders of whose choices matter and whose don’t, we got several of them this week from the guilds — starting with the American Cinema Editors.

    The editors of the ACE threw the oddsmakers for a loop by leavIng “Spotlight” off their list of nominees. Their drama category includes such expected titles as “Mad Max: Fury Road,” “The Martian,” and “The Revenant.” The ACE animation nominees are less controversial: Pixar’s “Inside Out” and “The Good Dinosaur,” along with Charlie Kaufman‘s stop-motion “Anomalisa.” Granted, the ACE picks won’t necessarily foretell the Academy nominees for Best Picture or even Best Editing, but no movie has won a Best Picture Oscar in 20 years without first being nominated for an Eddie. Tough break, “Spotlight” fans.
    The producers, whose guild prize is usually a very good predictor of who’ll get a Best Picture Oscar nomination, did include “Spotlight,” as well as Oscar front-runners “The Martian,” “The Revenant,” and “Mad Max: Fury Road.” They also echoed the rising support for such films as “The Big Short,” “Bridge of Spies,” and “Brooklyn.” But they snubbed “Star Wars,” as well as supposed front-runners “Carol,” “Room,” “Joy,” and “The Hateful Eight.”

    The writers liked “Spotlight,” “Carol,” and “Martian,” as well as rising contenders “The Big Short” and “Compton.” Of course, the WGA nominations come with a caveat: Only union members are eligible for nominations, which means they ignore most foreign scripts and some by non-member domestic writers. So that leaves out some likely Oscar screenplay contenders, including Quentin Tarantino’s “The Hateful Eight,” Hungarian drama “Son of Saul” (currently the front-runner for the foreign-language Oscar), “Inside Out” (the probable Best Animated Feature Oscar winner), “Anomalisa,” “Brooklyn,” “Room,” “The Danish Girl,” and “Ex Machina.” Still, the WGA awards do have some predictive value. They may not get all the Oscar nominees right, but 22 of the 32 winners of the guild’s Original and Adapted Screenplay honors over the past 16 years have gone on to win on Oscar night.

    What do all these guild awards tell us? First of all, the race is still up for grabs, and “Spotlight” is far (ish) from a sure thing. Second, there’s more support for “The Big Short,” “Bridge,” “Ex Machina,” “Sicario,” and “Compton” than one might have guessed a month ago. (And maybe less for “Carol,” “Brooklyn,” “Hateful Eight,” and “Room.”) Third, crowdpleasers that critics love — including “Martian,” “Mad Max,” and “Star Wars” — all still have a good shot. And fourth, because of the complexities of the Academy’s weighted ballot system, the lack of strong support for almost all of these movies could mean as few as five Best Picture nominees this year, instead of the usual eight or nine. Which five have the most enthusiastic support, and which are merely well-liked but not loved, is still too hard to tell.
    The suspense of this early, chaotic phase of the race is about to end. On Sunday, the Golden Globes will be handed out, but they won’t matter much because voting for Oscar nominations ends two days earlier, on January 8. We also haven’t heard yet from the Directors Guild of America; their nominations come out Tuesday, January 12, and will offer a strong indication of Oscar voters’ picks for Best Director and Best Picture nominations.

    Finally, the Oscar nominations themselves will be announced on Thursday, January 14. At that point, none of the winners journalists have picked will matter anymore, and we’ll focus entirely on what and whom the industry insiders choose.
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  • Here’s Chris Rock’s First Oscars 2016 Promo

    chris rock, oscars, oscars 2016, oscars promo, academy awardsThe first promo for the 2016 Oscars is here, and host Chris Rock — returning for his second stint as Oscar emcee — is promising a party. Just not the lighthearted one we’d all hoped for.

    The clip, which has a New Year’s Eve theme, features Rock urging viewers to tune in for the telecast by comparing it to the annual end-of-year celebration. But it sounds like Rock has been taking some cues from noted NYE naysayer Jennifer Lawrence, offering up a decidedly more depressing version of the boisterous holiday.

    “Much like New Year’s Eve, it will be a night that ends with a lot of drunk, disappointed people swearing they’ll do better next year,” Rock said of this year’s Academy Awards ceremony.

    It’s an apt comparison, if a tired one. Still, Rock is a seasoned performer, and we’re confident he has plenty of people working on writing better jokes for him in time for the telecast.

    The 88th annual Academy Awards broadcast will air on February 28 on ABC.

    Photo credit: YouTube

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